Using VERA to explain the impact of social distancing on the spread of COVID-19

COVID-19 continues to spread across the country and around the world. Current strategies for managing the spread of COVID-19include social distancing. We present VERA, an interactive AI tool, that first enables users to specify conceptual models of the impact of social distancing on the spread of COVID-19. Then, VERAautomatically spawns agent-based simulations from the conceptual models, and, given a data set, automatically fills in the values of the simulation parameters from the data.Next, the user can view the simulation results, and, if needed, revise the simulation parameters and run another experimental trial, or buildan alternative conceptual model. We describe the use VERAto develop a SIR model for the spread of COVID-19and its relationship withhealthcare capacity.